A transfer-market prediction game is a game of skill in which you guess real transfers — where a player will go and in which window — earning points when you get it right. It's free to play on app, you challenge your friends in private leagues and you never stake money: the winner is whoever knows the market best, not whoever bets the most.
It's a new category, built for the weeks when fantasy football is on hold but football, in the papers, never stops. Here's what it is, how it works and how to start playing.
→ Download the app for free and make your first prediction.
In short
- What: you guess real transfers (destination club and window) and earn points when you get it right.
- What it costs: playing is free; the app only has optional power-ups, never required to play or win.
- With whom: on your own, to climb the leaderboard, or in private leagues with friends.
- When: during the transfer windows — summer (June–September) and January.
- Is it betting?: no, it's a game of skill: no money at stake.
What a transfer-market prediction game is
Picture fantasy football, but instead of fielding a squad and chasing weekly bonuses, you predict the real market: who will buy that out-of-contract striker, whether the big club will close the deal or it will all fall through on the final day, in which window the deal will be done.
It is not betting and it is not tipping: it is a game of skill in which the score rewards knowledge of the transfer market. The harder and earlier the prediction, the more points you earn. For example: if in June you predict a striker will join a big club by July and you're right, you earn far more points than someone who calls it in late August, when everyone already says so.
In Italy the reference game in this category is Oraloco: free, available on app, built around the real transfers of Serie A and the major leagues.
How it works, in practice
The mechanism is simple and you learn it in a minute:
- Pick a player among those on the market.
- Predict the destination club and the window in which the deal will close.
- Earn points if you're right — the more points, the harder and earlier the prediction was.
- Climb the leaderboard, unlock trophies and measure yourself against other players.
The beauty is that the "pitch" is reality itself: every official announcement you read on Sky or Gazzetta moves your ranking. Reading the signals — an expiring contract, an affordable release clause, a loan with an obligation to buy already in place — is exactly the skill that wins.
Free and no betting: the difference that matters
Here is the non-negotiable point. A transfer-market prediction game is not gambling: on Oraloco you don't deposit money, you don't stake and you don't win cash. You earn points, leaderboard positions and trophies.
That is the sharp difference from bookmakers: no financial risk, no odds, no money winnings. The thrill of nailing a prediction stays intact — but it's strategy and knowledge, not a wager. We go deeper into the comparison in the guide to transfer predictions without betting, and you'll find every detail in the FAQ.
Playing with friends: private leagues
Like fantasy football, a transfer-market prediction game is at its best in company: it's the summer's ultimate prediction game to play with friends. You can create a private league and turn the market months into a contest: who has the sharpest eye for the market? Who "called" that surprise transfer weeks in advance?
It's the fantasy-football WhatsApp group that usually goes quiet in summer — switched back on precisely in the hottest months of the market, with something at stake: not money, but the right to say "I told you so".
"Fantasy football for the transfer market"
The fastest way to understand it is this: it's fantasy football for the transfer market. Same spirit — a contest between friends, a leaderboard, a touch of obsession with the news — but applied to transfers instead of matches.
And above all, you play it when fantasy football isn't on. From the end of the season in May to the late-August auction there are three months when fantasy leagues sit idle: that is exactly the window when a market prediction game is at its peak. If you're looking for what to play in the summer, we also cover it in the guide to alternatives to fantasy football.
When you play: the transfer windows
A transfer-market prediction game lives to the rhythm of the official sessions. In Serie A there are two:
- Summer session: from 29 June to 1 September 2026 — the longest and busiest, the absolute peak of the game.
- Winter session: from 2 January to 1 February 2027 — the "repair market", shorter but intense.
You'll find the exact dates and how they work in the guide to the Serie A transfer-window calendar. Outside the windows the game pauses, ready to switch back on for the next one.
How to start playing
Getting started with the free transfer-market prediction app takes a few minutes:
- Download the Oraloco app (here).
- Create your profile and take a look at how the game works.
- Make your first prediction on an open transfer.
- Invite your friends and create a private league to challenge them.
You don't need to be an expert in club accounts: all it takes is a passion for the transfer market and a bit of instinct. The rest you learn by playing.
Frequently asked questions
What is a transfer-market prediction game?
It's a game of skill — legal, not gambling — built on real transfers: you test how well you know the market instead of relying on luck. The score rewards whoever best predicts the destinations and timing of deals.
Is the transfer-market prediction game free?
Yes: playing is always free — predictions, private leagues and the leaderboard cost nothing, you don't deposit money and you don't win cash. The app only offers optional power-ups (such as shields or double points), never required to play or to win.
Is it like fantasy football?
It shares the spirit — a contest between friends, private leagues, a leaderboard — but instead of matches you predict the transfer market. On top of that, you play it in the summer, when fantasy football is on hold.
Can you play with friends?
Yes. You can create private leagues and challenge your friends to see who knows the market best, exactly like in fantasy football but on real transfers.
Is it betting?
No. It's a game of skill: there's no money at stake and no wagers. The winner is whoever predicts transfers best, not whoever risks the most. All the details are in the FAQ.
Play the market while it's open
The summer transfer market is open and every day brings negotiations, deals and surprises. It's the perfect moment to start: find out how Oraloco works, download the app and make your first prediction. Then challenge your friends — and reach September with something to hold over whoever didn't believe you.
